Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 31 point to a high in the upper 90s near 99°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the strong 57% market-implied odds on 98-99°F and 37% on 100-101°F. Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, with recent daily maxima of 103-107°F earlier in August, supports near-normal or slightly above-average readings for the date, though dry conditions and minimal cloud cover limit further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble runs against minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, with final NWS updates and any overnight adjustments likely to refine resolution probabilities before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 31?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
$60 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$88 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$97 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$292 KL.
3%
98-99°F
$1,541 KL.
56%
100-101°F
$490 KL.
37%
102-103°F
$511 KL.
5%
104-105°F
$123 KL.
1%
106-107°F
$140 KL.
<1%
108°F or higher
$140 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 31 point to a high in the upper 90s near 99°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the strong 57% market-implied odds on 98-99°F and 37% on 100-101°F. Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, with recent daily maxima of 103-107°F earlier in August, supports near-normal or slightly above-average readings for the date, though dry conditions and minimal cloud cover limit further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble runs against minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, with final NWS updates and any overnight adjustments likely to refine resolution probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,711Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 31 point to a high in the upper 90s near 99°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the strong 57% market-implied odds on 98-99°F and 37% on 100-101°F. Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, with recent daily maxima of 103-107°F earlier in August, supports near-normal or slightly above-average readings for the date, though dry conditions and minimal cloud cover limit further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble runs against minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, with final NWS updates and any overnight adjustments likely to refine resolution probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,711Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 31 point to a high in the upper 90s near 99°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the strong 57% market-implied odds on 98-99°F and 37% on 100-101°F. Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, with recent daily maxima of 103-107°F earlier in August, supports near-normal or slightly above-average readings for the date, though dry conditions and minimal cloud cover limit further intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble runs against minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, with final NWS updates and any overnight adjustments likely to refine resolution probabilities before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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