Persistent heat dome conditions and clear skies are driving the market's strong preference for a 98-99°F high in Austin on August 30, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 99°F under sunny to mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average daily high reaches about 95°F, though recent days have featured multiple 100°F+ readings amid subsidence and minimal moisture. Official guidance and model consensus emphasize dry air and strong insolation without afternoon convection, keeping odds for 100-101°F at nearly 30% while sharply discounting sub-98°F outcomes. Updated midday observations and heat index values near 102°F further reinforce trader focus on the upper-90s threshold for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 7%
94-95°F 1.1%
$12,951 KL.
$12,951 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
65%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 7%
94-95°F 1.1%
$12,951 KL.
$12,951 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$145 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$446 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$1,005 KL.
7%
98-99°F
$7,449 KL.
65%
100-101°F
$2,294 KL.
30%
102-103°F
$563 KL.
1%
104-105°F
$279 KL.
1%
106-107°F
$150 KL.
<1%
108°F or higher
$140 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions and clear skies are driving the market's strong preference for a 98-99°F high in Austin on August 30, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 99°F under sunny to mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average daily high reaches about 95°F, though recent days have featured multiple 100°F+ readings amid subsidence and minimal moisture. Official guidance and model consensus emphasize dry air and strong insolation without afternoon convection, keeping odds for 100-101°F at nearly 30% while sharply discounting sub-98°F outcomes. Updated midday observations and heat index values near 102°F further reinforce trader focus on the upper-90s threshold for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,951Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions and clear skies are driving the market's strong preference for a 98-99°F high in Austin on August 30, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 99°F under sunny to mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average daily high reaches about 95°F, though recent days have featured multiple 100°F+ readings amid subsidence and minimal moisture. Official guidance and model consensus emphasize dry air and strong insolation without afternoon convection, keeping odds for 100-101°F at nearly 30% while sharply discounting sub-98°F outcomes. Updated midday observations and heat index values near 102°F further reinforce trader focus on the upper-90s threshold for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,951Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat dome conditions and clear skies are driving the market's strong preference for a 98-99°F high in Austin on August 30, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 99°F under sunny to mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average daily high reaches about 95°F, though recent days have featured multiple 100°F+ readings amid subsidence and minimal moisture. Official guidance and model consensus emphasize dry air and strong insolation without afternoon convection, keeping odds for 100-101°F at nearly 30% while sharply discounting sub-98°F outcomes. Updated midday observations and heat index values near 102°F further reinforce trader focus on the upper-90s threshold for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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