The solidly Republican partisan lean of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by 2025 redistricting that boosted its Trump-era margins to the low-to-mid 20s, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced on the other side in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Recent polling aggregates and historical voting patterns show consistent double-digit advantages for Republican candidates, limiting Democratic opportunities absent a major national shift. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the broader midterm environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
$25,032 Обс.
$25,032 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
7%
$25,032 Обс.
$25,032 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,314 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,718 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican partisan lean of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by 2025 redistricting that boosted its Trump-era margins to the low-to-mid 20s, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced on the other side in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Recent polling aggregates and historical voting patterns show consistent double-digit advantages for Republican candidates, limiting Democratic opportunities absent a major national shift. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the broader midterm environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,032Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican partisan lean of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by 2025 redistricting that boosted its Trump-era margins to the low-to-mid 20s, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced on the other side in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Recent polling aggregates and historical voting patterns show consistent double-digit advantages for Republican candidates, limiting Democratic opportunities absent a major national shift. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the broader midterm environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,032Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican partisan lean of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by 2025 redistricting that boosted its Trump-era margins to the low-to-mid 20s, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced on the other side in a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Recent polling aggregates and historical voting patterns show consistent double-digit advantages for Republican candidates, limiting Democratic opportunities absent a major national shift. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the broader midterm environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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