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First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?
Політика·Проміжні семестри

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

93% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
93% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia's 6th congressional district on November 3. The Atlanta-suburban seat's recent voting patterns and McBath's prior margins create expectations of a sizable Democratic performance, yet the closely balanced market odds around outright majority reflect limited current polling, midterm turnout variables, and potential shifts in the broader political environment. Recent primary results confirmed the nominees months ago with no subsequent major developments. New surveys, fundraising reports, or national events within the resolution window could alter assessments of whether one candidate clears 50 percent in the initial round.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Обсяг
$155
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia's 6th congressional district on November 3. The Atlanta-suburban seat's recent voting patterns and McBath's prior margins create expectations of a sizable Democratic performance, yet the closely balanced market odds around outright majority reflect limited current polling, midterm turnout variables, and potential shifts in the broader political environment. Recent primary results confirmed the nominees months ago with no subsequent major developments. New surveys, fundraising reports, or national events within the resolution window could alter assessments of whether one candidate clears 50 percent in the initial round.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Обсяг
$155
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 93% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 93¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 93%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?» — 93% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 93% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.