Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

51% шанс — ні

+5.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

+0.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% шанс — так

+1.3%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

62% шанс — ні

-2.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

51% шанс — ні

+5.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

+0.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$468K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$428K Обсяг

ME Senate

58% Демократ

+5%

$336K Обсяг

AK Senate

58% Демократ

$120K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

$99.4K Обсяг

OH Governor

54% Республіканець

-1%

$468K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$428K Обсяг

ME Senate

58% Демократ

+5%

$336K Обсяг

AK Senate

58% Демократ

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	76%
	Стів Гілтон	9%
	Том Стейєр	8%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	30%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	25%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	16%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	Hank Kroll	6%
	David Bronson	5%
	Bill Walker	4%
	Click Bishop	3%
	Matt Claman	3%
	Ненсі Дальстром	2%
	Shelley Hughes	1%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	61%
	James Talarico (D)	41%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	59%
	Republican	41%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	59%
	Dan Sullivan	42%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory	Gallrein 9%+	99%
	Gallrein 6-9%	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	95%
	Dan Bilzerian	4%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	69%
	Antonio Reynoso	28%
	Julie Won	6%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	40%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	53%
	Democrat	45%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	75%
	Independent	21%
	Democrat	2%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	86%
	Michael Whatley (R)	15%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Beth Davidson	65%
	Cait Conley	28%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	5%
	Peter Chatzky	1%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	5%
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner	Democrat	91%
	Republican	4%
	Independent	4%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jackson Lahmeyer	76%
	Mark Tedford	24%
	Dan Rooney	2%
CA-04 Primary Winners	Mike Thompson	100%
	Eric Jones	73%
	Laurie MacKenzie	4%
	Sharon Brown	2%
	Mandy Ghusar	1%
	John Wesley Tyler	1%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Democrat	18%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	73%
	Tram Nguyen	19%
	Kevin Larivee	7%
	John Beccia	2%
	Beth Andres-Beck	2%
	Seth Moulton	1%
	Jamie Zahlaway Belsito	1%
	Rick Jakious	1%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	89%
	Nate Blouin	9%
	Liban Mohamed	3%
	Luz Escamilla	1%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	62%
	Adriano Espaillat	38%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	18%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	81%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	12%
	Jared Moskowitz	1%
	Victoria Doyle	1%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	77%
	Democrat	19%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	10%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	67%
	Shannon Bird	32%
	Amie Baca-Oehlert	2%
	Yadira Caraveo	1%
New Mexico Governor Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	12%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	74%
	Alex Pelbath	12%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	9%
	Sam McCown	4%
	Jay Byars	3%
	Jack Ellison	1%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	78%
	Jordan Wood	12%
	Matthew Dunlap	6%
	Jared Golden	1%
Oregon Governor Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	14%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	95%
	Don Ufford	29%
	Andy Levin	5%
	Aisha Farooqi	3%
	Dave Woodward	1%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	63%
	Maura Sullivan	28%
	Carleigh Beriont	4%
	Heath Howard	2%
ME-02 Republican Primary Winner	Paul LePage	99%
	James Clark	1%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	3%
Colorado Governor Election Winner	Democrat	91%
	Republican	8%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	79%
	David Trone	18%
	Alexis Goldstein	1%
	Kiambo White	1%
	Daniel Krakower	1%
	Ethan Wechtaluk	1%
Wyoming Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	4%
NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Susie Lee	99%
	Terrill Robinson	1%
	Brandon West	1%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	81%
	DeVante Hill	9%
	Steve Cohen	5%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Democrat	16%
NV-02 Republican Primary Winner	David Flippo	63%
	James Settelmeyer	35%
	Fred Simon	2%
	Sherman Tylawsky	1%
	Jesse Watts	1%
	Jennifer Billat	1%
	Tom Doyle	1%
	George Forbush	1%
	Bruce Grego	1%
	Andrea Lowe	1%
	Doug Miller	1%
	Jerry Olsen	1%
	Rick Shepherd	1%
NV-03 Republican Primary Winner	Martin O'Donnell	97%
	Jeff Gunter	2%
	Tera Anderson	1%
	Aury Nagy	1%
CA-06 Primary Winners	Kevin Kiley	98%
	Richard Pan	98%
	Michael Stansfield	6%
	Tyler Vandenberg	2%
	Lauren Babb Tomlinson	1%
	Thien Ho	1%
	Martha Guerrero	1%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	76%
	Charles Park	18%
	Yan Xiong	1%
CA-14 Primary Winners	Aisha Wahab	98%
	Melissa Hernandez	90%
	Carin Elam	46%
	Wendy Huang	24%
	Rakhi Israni Singh	4%
	Victor Aguilar Jr.	3%
	Suzanne Chenault	3%
	Matt Ortega	3%
OK-03 Republican Primary Winner	Frank Lucas	95%
	Wade Burleson	21%
CA-33 Primary Winners	Pete Aguilar	100%
	Stephanie Vargas	97%
	Ernest "Ernie" Richter	38%
	Tom Herman	3%
	Ling Ling Shi	2%
	Antonis P. Christodoulou	2%
	Eugene Weems	1%
DC Delegate Democratic Primary Winner	Robert White	73%
	Brooke Pinto	28%
	Kinney Zalesne	6%
	Trent Holbrook	1%
	Gregory Jaczko	1%
MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Kweisi Mfume	98%
	Theo Gillespie	2%
	Mark Conway	1%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	91%
	George Walsh	6%
	Victor Guidice	5%
	Randi White	5%

76%

Стів Гілтон

Том Стейєр

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

30%

Бернадетт Вілсон

25%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

61%

James Talarico (D)

41%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

59%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

41%

59%

Dan Sullivan

42%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory Gallrein 9%+

99%

Gallrein 6-9%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

95%

Dan Bilzerian

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

61%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

40%

53%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

45%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

86%

Michael Whatley (R)

15%

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Beth Davidson

65%

Cait Conley

28%

Effie Phillips-Staley

Peter Chatzky

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

94%

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner Democrat

91%

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Jackson Lahmeyer

Independent

CA-04 Primary Winners Mike Thompson

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

81%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

18%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Rick Jakious

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

62%

Adriano Espaillat

38%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

82%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

18%

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

77%

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

19%

83%

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

10%

New Mexico Governor Election Winner Democrat

86%

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

12%

74%

Alex Pelbath

12%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

Sam McCown

Jay Byars

Jack Ellison

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Joe Baldacci

Oregon Governor Election Winner Democrat

87%

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

14%

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner Stefany Shaheen

ME-02 Republican Primary Winner Paul LePage

99%

James Clark

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

94%

Colorado Governor Election Winner Democrat

91%

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner April McClain Delaney

Wyoming Senate Election Winner Republican

94%

NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner Susie Lee

99%

Terrill Robinson

Brandon West

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

81%

DeVante Hill

Steve Cohen

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

81%