Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+1.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% шанс — так

+1.7%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

67% шанс — ні

+4.0%

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+1.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

59% Республіканець

-2%

ME Senate

68% Демократ

+2%

$611K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

+0%

$367K Обсяг

AK Senate

58% Демократ

+0%

$144K Обсяг

IA Senate

61% Республіканець

+1%

AK Governor

59% Республіканець

-2%

ME Senate

68% Демократ

+2%

$611K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

+0%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

529 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	93%
	Steve Hilton	7%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	33%
	Bernadette Wilson	30%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	9%
	David Bronson	6%
	Bill Walker	6%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Matt Heilala	1%
	Mary Peltola	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
	Lesil McGuire	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	68%
	Republican	32%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	100%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	96%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	16%
	Independent	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	71%
	Independent	30%
	Democrat	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	62%
	Democrat	39%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	100%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	69%
	Republican	31%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	57%
	Democrat	44%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	18%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Independent	9%
	Democrat	1%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	8%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	87%
	Michael Whatley (R)	14%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	57%
	Republican	42%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	54%
	Wesley Bell	47%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	15%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	71%
	Shri Thanedar	25%
AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Greg Stanton	100%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	William Lawrence	55%
	Matt Maasdam	27%
	Bridget Brink	19%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	45%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	80%
	Eric Chung	15%
	Tim Greimel	6%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	61%
	Republican	36%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	93%
	Victoria Doyle	3%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	2%
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jerry Carl	98%
	Rhett Marques	2%
	Austin Sidwell	2%
	John Mills	1%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	84%
	Aisha Farooqi	13%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amish Shah	99%
	Marlene Galán-Woods	1%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Dan Green	26%
	Jorge Martinez	14%
	Marcus Carter	12%
	Justin Story	5%
	Ben Butler	3%
	Howard Steven Rance	2%
	Jorge Malavet	1%
	Steve Rance	1%
AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Elizabeth Lee	100%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	82%
	Kaela Berg	14%
	Matt Klein	3%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	80%
	Democrat	19%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	98%
	Latonya Reeves	3%
Illinois Senate Election Winner	Juliana Stratton (D)	94%
	Don Tracy (R)	6%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	6%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	96%
	Tyler Kistner	1%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	72%
	Elijah Manley	26%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	99%
	Bill Hill	96%
	Matt Schultz	56%
	John Williams	56%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	33%
	Gavin Solomon	1%
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Luke Bronin	72%
	John Larson	27%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	79%
	Democrat	22%
Alabama Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	5%
MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Hartzell Gray	60%
	Jordan Herrera	10%
	Wayne Russell	8%
	Randy Miller	6%
	Jeanette Cass	5%
	Ashleigh Rogers	3%
	G Rick	2%
HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ed Case	54%
	Jarrett Keohokalole	44%
	Nicholas Kiswanto	6%
	Jennifer Booker	5%
	Ben Fatula	1%
Arkansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	2%
WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Cooke	85%
	Emily Berge	10%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	79%
	Cory Mills	18%
	Mike Johnson	9%
	Sarah Ulrich	4%
HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Jill Tokuda	75%
	Greg Guithues	35%
	Kirill Basin	31%
	Steven King	31%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Keith Gross	54%
	Evan Power	33%
	Austin Rogers	17%
	Jim Norton	14%
	Lee Jones	12%
	Audie Rowell	10%
	Nick Lewis	9%
	Luke Murphy	8%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	34%

93%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

33%

Bernadette Wilson

30%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

68%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

32%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

96%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

62%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

39%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

69%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

31%

57%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

44%

84%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

18%

91%

Independent

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

93%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

87%

Michael Whatley (R)

14%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

57%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

42%

54%

Wesley Bell

47%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

87%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

15%

71%

Shri Thanedar

25%

AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner Greg Stanton

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner William Lawrence

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

45%

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

61%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

36%

93%

Victoria Doyle

Oliver Adams Larkin

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner Jerry Carl

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

84%

Aisha Farooqi

13%

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner Amish Shah

99%

Marlene Galán-Woods

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner Elizabeth Lee

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

80%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

19%

98%

Latonya Reeves

Illinois Senate Election Winner Juliana Stratton (D)

94%

Don Tracy (R)

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

94%

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner Eric Pratt

96%

Tyler Kistner

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

72%

Elijah Manley

26%

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

33%

Gavin Solomon

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Luke Bronin

72%

John Larson

27%

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

79%

Alabama Senate Election Winner Republican

22%

95%

MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner Hartzell Gray

HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ed Case

Arkansas Governor Election Winner Republican

94%