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icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 29%

Ben Butler 27.9%

Jorge Martinez 23.2%

Dan Green 22%

Polymarket

$107,297 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux 29%

Ben Butler 27.9%

Jorge Martinez 23.2%

Dan Green 22%

Polymarket

$107,297 Обс.

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$30,813 Обс.

29%

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$19,470 Обс.

28%

icon for Jorge Martinez

Jorge Martinez

$13,315 Обс.

23%

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$12,463 Обс.

22%

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,899 Обс.

<1%

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$11,423 Обс.

<1%

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$10,410 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$5,021 Обс.

<1%

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,509 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 9th congressional district remains tightly contested days before the August 18 vote, with trader probabilities clustered among four leading candidates and over 40 percent of likely primary voters still undecided in the most recent Victory Insights survey. Chalifoux’s substantial self-funding and prior general-election experience in the district offset Butler’s stronger donor fundraising and targeted endorsements, while Martinez and Green draw support from distinct voter bases tied to business experience and military service. The newly configured boundaries, which added more Republican-leaning areas, have expanded the candidate field without yet producing clear frontrunner separation. Late developments such as additional endorsements, final ad spending, or turnout operations in key counties could shift support among remaining undecided voters before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$107,297
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 9th congressional district remains tightly contested days before the August 18 vote, with trader probabilities clustered among four leading candidates and over 40 percent of likely primary voters still undecided in the most recent Victory Insights survey. Chalifoux’s substantial self-funding and prior general-election experience in the district offset Butler’s stronger donor fundraising and targeted endorsements, while Martinez and Green draw support from distinct voter bases tied to business experience and military service. The newly configured boundaries, which added more Republican-leaning areas, have expanded the candidate field without yet producing clear frontrunner separation. Late developments such as additional endorsements, final ad spending, or turnout operations in key counties could shift support among remaining undecided voters before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$107,297
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 28%, далі «Ben Butler» з 28%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $107.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 28%. Наступний — «Ben Butler» з 28%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.