**KPRF holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections because it remains the most established systemic opposition party with deep organizational reach, historical results around 19% in 2021, and steady positioning in multiple official polling series.** United Russia is expected to retain its dominant majority through the mixed electoral system, candidate vetting, and institutional advantages, leaving second place contested mainly among KPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent August 2026 polls show variation—VCIOM has occasionally placed New People ahead at roughly 12-13%, while FOM and others keep KPRF or LDPR competitive—but traders appear to discount New People’s newer profile and favor KPRF’s consistent base and parliamentary status. LDPR trails at about 11% amid leadership continuity under Slutsky, with smaller parties like SRZP and Yabloko facing registration pressures and lower viability. The short window before voting limits major shifts unless late administrative adjustments occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.5%
New People (NL) 7.2%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$318,968 Обс.
$318,968 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%
New People (NL)
7%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.5%
New People (NL) 7.2%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$318,968 Обс.
$318,968 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$37,445 Обс.
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$82,019 Обс.
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$12,687 Обс.
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$70,214 Обс.
8%
New People (NL)
$42,361 Обс.
7%
Rodina
$19,680 Обс.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 Обс.
<1%
Yabloko
$42,988 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**KPRF holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections because it remains the most established systemic opposition party with deep organizational reach, historical results around 19% in 2021, and steady positioning in multiple official polling series.** United Russia is expected to retain its dominant majority through the mixed electoral system, candidate vetting, and institutional advantages, leaving second place contested mainly among KPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent August 2026 polls show variation—VCIOM has occasionally placed New People ahead at roughly 12-13%, while FOM and others keep KPRF or LDPR competitive—but traders appear to discount New People’s newer profile and favor KPRF’s consistent base and parliamentary status. LDPR trails at about 11% amid leadership continuity under Slutsky, with smaller parties like SRZP and Yabloko facing registration pressures and lower viability. The short window before voting limits major shifts unless late administrative adjustments occur.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$318,968Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**KPRF holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections because it remains the most established systemic opposition party with deep organizational reach, historical results around 19% in 2021, and steady positioning in multiple official polling series.** United Russia is expected to retain its dominant majority through the mixed electoral system, candidate vetting, and institutional advantages, leaving second place contested mainly among KPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent August 2026 polls show variation—VCIOM has occasionally placed New People ahead at roughly 12-13%, while FOM and others keep KPRF or LDPR competitive—but traders appear to discount New People’s newer profile and favor KPRF’s consistent base and parliamentary status. LDPR trails at about 11% amid leadership continuity under Slutsky, with smaller parties like SRZP and Yabloko facing registration pressures and lower viability. The short window before voting limits major shifts unless late administrative adjustments occur.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$318,968Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KPRF holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections because it remains the most established systemic opposition party with deep organizational reach, historical results around 19% in 2021, and steady positioning in multiple official polling series.** United Russia is expected to retain its dominant majority through the mixed electoral system, candidate vetting, and institutional advantages, leaving second place contested mainly among KPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent August 2026 polls show variation—VCIOM has occasionally placed New People ahead at roughly 12-13%, while FOM and others keep KPRF or LDPR competitive—but traders appear to discount New People’s newer profile and favor KPRF’s consistent base and parliamentary status. LDPR trails at about 11% amid leadership continuity under Slutsky, with smaller parties like SRZP and Yabloko facing registration pressures and lower viability. The short window before voting limits major shifts unless late administrative adjustments occur.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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