Ciro Gomes maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent advantages in recent polling. Multiple surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel, show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 10 points or more in the first round, with Ciro often near or above 43-49%. The August 9 debate between the two highlighted public security as a key issue, where Ciro criticized state intelligence efforts against criminal factions. Ciro's return to state politics after two decades, backed by an opposition coalition, contrasts with Elmano's reelection bid amid mixed approval on employment and safety metrics. Lower-polling names such as Eduardo Girão remain distant in both surveys and market odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$128,845 Обс.
$128,845 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
66%
Elmano de Freitas
35%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$128,845 Обс.
$128,845 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$74,864 Обс.
66%
Elmano de Freitas
$22,818 Обс.
35%
Eduardo Girão
$8,771 Обс.
1%
Camilo Santana
$6,397 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$7,474 Обс.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,522 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent advantages in recent polling. Multiple surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel, show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 10 points or more in the first round, with Ciro often near or above 43-49%. The August 9 debate between the two highlighted public security as a key issue, where Ciro criticized state intelligence efforts against criminal factions. Ciro's return to state politics after two decades, backed by an opposition coalition, contrasts with Elmano's reelection bid amid mixed approval on employment and safety metrics. Lower-polling names such as Eduardo Girão remain distant in both surveys and market odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$128,845Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent advantages in recent polling. Multiple surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel, show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 10 points or more in the first round, with Ciro often near or above 43-49%. The August 9 debate between the two highlighted public security as a key issue, where Ciro criticized state intelligence efforts against criminal factions. Ciro's return to state politics after two decades, backed by an opposition coalition, contrasts with Elmano's reelection bid amid mixed approval on employment and safety metrics. Lower-polling names such as Eduardo Girão remain distant in both surveys and market odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$128,845Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes maintains a clear lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent advantages in recent polling. Multiple surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel, show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by margins of 10 points or more in the first round, with Ciro often near or above 43-49%. The August 9 debate between the two highlighted public security as a key issue, where Ciro criticized state intelligence efforts against criminal factions. Ciro's return to state politics after two decades, backed by an opposition coalition, contrasts with Elmano's reelection bid amid mixed approval on employment and safety metrics. Lower-polling names such as Eduardo Girão remain distant in both surveys and market odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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