Recent polling trends position Vänsterpartiet slightly ahead of Centerpartiet ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, supporting the 59.5% implied probability for V receiving more votes. SCB's May 2026 party preference survey showed V at 8.6% (a statistically significant rise from prior measurements) versus C at 6.4%, while multiple July and August aggregates from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop place V in the 6.5–7.8% range and C between 6.6–7.3%. These figures align with the centre-left opposition bloc's sustained lead over the Tidö government parties, as V forms part of the red-green grouping alongside Socialdemokraterna. No singular high-impact event in the past 30 days has shifted their relative standings, leaving trader sentiment anchored to this narrow but consistent polling edge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоV
73% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
V
73% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position Vänsterpartiet slightly ahead of Centerpartiet ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, supporting the 59.5% implied probability for V receiving more votes. SCB's May 2026 party preference survey showed V at 8.6% (a statistically significant rise from prior measurements) versus C at 6.4%, while multiple July and August aggregates from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop place V in the 6.5–7.8% range and C between 6.6–7.3%. These figures align with the centre-left opposition bloc's sustained lead over the Tidö government parties, as V forms part of the red-green grouping alongside Socialdemokraterna. No singular high-impact event in the past 30 days has shifted their relative standings, leaving trader sentiment anchored to this narrow but consistent polling edge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$82Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position Vänsterpartiet slightly ahead of Centerpartiet ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, supporting the 59.5% implied probability for V receiving more votes. SCB's May 2026 party preference survey showed V at 8.6% (a statistically significant rise from prior measurements) versus C at 6.4%, while multiple July and August aggregates from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop place V in the 6.5–7.8% range and C between 6.6–7.3%. These figures align with the centre-left opposition bloc's sustained lead over the Tidö government parties, as V forms part of the red-green grouping alongside Socialdemokraterna. No singular high-impact event in the past 30 days has shifted their relative standings, leaving trader sentiment anchored to this narrow but consistent polling edge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Обсяг
$182Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling trends position Vänsterpartiet slightly ahead of Centerpartiet ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, supporting the 59.5% implied probability for V receiving more votes. SCB's May 2026 party preference survey showed V at 8.6% (a statistically significant rise from prior measurements) versus C at 6.4%, while multiple July and August aggregates from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop place V in the 6.5–7.8% range and C between 6.6–7.3%. These figures align with the centre-left opposition bloc's sustained lead over the Tidö government parties, as V forms part of the red-green grouping alongside Socialdemokraterna. No singular high-impact event in the past 30 days has shifted their relative standings, leaving trader sentiment anchored to this narrow but consistent polling edge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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