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icon for Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?

icon for Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?

Єдина Росія (ЄР) 73%

Нові люди (NL) 19.3%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,695,209 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР) 73%

Нові люди (NL) 19.3%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,695,209 Обс.

icon for Єдина Росія (ЄР)

Єдина Росія (ЄР)

$7,388,855 Обс.

73%

icon for Нові люди (NL)

Нові люди (NL)

$2,158,958 Обс.

19%

icon for Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)

$3,240,107 Обс.

6%

icon for Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)

$1,356,840 Обс.

1%

icon for Родіна

Родіна

$2,492,434 Обс.

<1%

icon for Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)

$1,557,127 Обс.

<1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$1,225,827 Обс.

<1%

icon for Громадянська платформа (ГП)

Громадянська платформа (ГП)

$1,275,063 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a dominant position in trader consensus due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority in the State Duma, reinforced by recent party primaries, candidate list approvals featuring high-profile figures, and Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 vote. The mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, combined with administrative resources and limited space for non-systemic opposition, structurally favors the incumbent. New People holds the next-highest implied probability as the youngest parliamentary party polling in the low-to-mid teens in some surveys, though still far behind. Other parties such as LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain low-probability contenders given consistent historical patterns and polling averages that show United Russia leading by wide margins in both national and regional contests. The upcoming three-day voting period and inclusion of occupied territories further align with expectations of continuity in seat distribution.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$20,695,209
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a dominant position in trader consensus due to its status as the ruling party with a longstanding constitutional majority in the State Duma, reinforced by recent party primaries, candidate list approvals featuring high-profile figures, and Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 vote. The mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, combined with administrative resources and limited space for non-systemic opposition, structurally favors the incumbent. New People holds the next-highest implied probability as the youngest parliamentary party polling in the low-to-mid teens in some surveys, though still far behind. Other parties such as LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP remain low-probability contenders given consistent historical patterns and polling averages that show United Russia leading by wide margins in both national and regional contests. The upcoming three-day voting period and inclusion of occupied territories further align with expectations of continuity in seat distribution.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$20,695,209
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Пов'язане

icon for Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

99%
Так
icon for Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

39%
icon for Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

82%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Єдина Росія (ЄР)» з 73%, далі «Нові люди (NL)» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» згенерував $20.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» — «Єдина Росія (ЄР)» з 73%. Наступний — «Нові люди (NL)» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.