United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party with a current supermajority, extensive administrative resources, and ongoing Kremlin-backed restructuring of its federal and regional leadership ahead of the vote. New People has emerged as the primary challenger in recent opinion surveys, reaching around 12-13% support in some VTsIOM polling and positioning itself as a systemic alternative by critiquing specific policies like internet restrictions and tax measures, which has lifted its implied probability relative to traditional parties. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and A Just Russia trail further behind amid stable but lower ratings and established regional structures that have not translated into comparable momentum. With the contest one month away, no major late shifts have altered the hierarchy, though scheduled candidate list finalizations and regional campaigning continue to shape expectations for seat distribution under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Яка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 72%
Нові люди (NL) 20.2%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%
$20,705,091 Обс.
$20,705,091 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
Єдина Росія (ЄР)
72%
Нові люди (NL)
20%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
6%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
1%
Родіна
<1%
Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 72%
Нові люди (NL) 20.2%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 5.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 1.4%
$20,705,091 Обс.
$20,705,091 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
Єдина Росія (ЄР)
$7,396,212 Обс.
72%
Нові люди (NL)
$2,159,652 Обс.
20%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
$3,241,386 Обс.
6%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
$1,356,920 Обс.
1%
Родіна
$2,492,598 Обс.
<1%
Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
$1,557,237 Обс.
<1%
Yabloko
$1,226,023 Обс.
<1%
Громадянська платформа (ГП)
$1,275,063 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party with a current supermajority, extensive administrative resources, and ongoing Kremlin-backed restructuring of its federal and regional leadership ahead of the vote. New People has emerged as the primary challenger in recent opinion surveys, reaching around 12-13% support in some VTsIOM polling and positioning itself as a systemic alternative by critiquing specific policies like internet restrictions and tax measures, which has lifted its implied probability relative to traditional parties. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and A Just Russia trail further behind amid stable but lower ratings and established regional structures that have not translated into comparable momentum. With the contest one month away, no major late shifts have altered the hierarchy, though scheduled candidate list finalizations and regional campaigning continue to shape expectations for seat distribution under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,705,091Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party with a current supermajority, extensive administrative resources, and ongoing Kremlin-backed restructuring of its federal and regional leadership ahead of the vote. New People has emerged as the primary challenger in recent opinion surveys, reaching around 12-13% support in some VTsIOM polling and positioning itself as a systemic alternative by critiquing specific policies like internet restrictions and tax measures, which has lifted its implied probability relative to traditional parties. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and A Just Russia trail further behind amid stable but lower ratings and established regional structures that have not translated into comparable momentum. With the contest one month away, no major late shifts have altered the hierarchy, though scheduled candidate list finalizations and regional campaigning continue to shape expectations for seat distribution under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$20,705,091Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party with a current supermajority, extensive administrative resources, and ongoing Kremlin-backed restructuring of its federal and regional leadership ahead of the vote. New People has emerged as the primary challenger in recent opinion surveys, reaching around 12-13% support in some VTsIOM polling and positioning itself as a systemic alternative by critiquing specific policies like internet restrictions and tax measures, which has lifted its implied probability relative to traditional parties. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and A Just Russia trail further behind amid stable but lower ratings and established regional structures that have not translated into comparable momentum. With the contest one month away, no major late shifts have altered the hierarchy, though scheduled candidate list finalizations and regional campaigning continue to shape expectations for seat distribution under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?
99%
Так
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання