United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.8%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Обс.
$185,694 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.8%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Обс.
$185,694 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
$26,808 Обс.
3%
280–294
$16,696 Обс.
4%
295–309
$11,907 Обс.
7%
310–324
$14,918 Обс.
19%
325–339
$27,806 Обс.
35%
340–354
$48,826 Обс.
23%
355+
$38,731 Обс.
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$185,694Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$185,694Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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