President Trump remains firmly in office in mid-2026, actively issuing executive orders on trade, defense, immigration enforcement, and domestic infrastructure while advancing construction initiatives at the White House and federal sites. Democratic-led impeachment resolutions tied to foreign policy disputes, including Iran-related actions earlier in the year, have advanced only in the House without Senate conviction prospects given partisan majorities. No credible 25th Amendment invocations or widespread Republican calls for resignation have emerged, and public statements plus ongoing campaign-style events indicate continued capacity to serve. Traders assign just a low-single-digit probability to removal before 2027, reflecting the institutional barriers to early exit and absence of acute political or health catalysts that would shift consensus. Midterm outcomes could alter the landscape after November but fall outside the near-term window.