Trump's Vice President and Cabinet hold the decisive authority under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, and current alignment with the president creates a high procedural barrier to any removal declaration before the end of 2026. Loyal appointees and Republican congressional majorities have shown no inclination to initiate the process despite earlier partisan calls tied to foreign policy disputes. Trader consensus at 97% on the negative reflects these institutional realities and the absence of verified incapacity signals in recent months. Even so, an unforeseen acute health event or abrupt Cabinet-level fracture could still reopen the possibility within the resolution window.