Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
$108,888 Обс.
$108,888 Обс.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
$108,888 Обс.
$108,888 Обс.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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