Traders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output landing in the 180-239 range as the most probable outcome for August 11-18 because his recent baseline hovers near 30-40 posts per day amid steady commentary on politics, technology, and platform issues. The tight clustering of probabilities around those buckets reflects consistent volume without major spikes from product launches or controversies in the immediate window. Historical patterns show quiet periods can dip toward 180 while routine engagement pushes past 220, with any sudden news cycle or reply thread providing the swing factor. Upcoming days offer little scheduled catalyst beyond normal activity, leaving momentum tied to Musk’s established posting cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
НОВЕ
$30,415 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,415 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
14%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
10%
260-279
9%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
НОВЕ
$30,415 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,415 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$115 Обс.
<1%
20-39
$115 Обс.
<1%
40-59
$115 Обс.
<1%
60-79
$10,911 Обс.
<1%
80-99
$3,916 Обс.
1%
100-119
$4,401 Обс.
1%
120-139
$89 Обс.
3%
140-159
$100 Обс.
11%
160-179
$170 Обс.
14%
180-199
$188 Обс.
17%
200-219
$201 Обс.
18%
220-239
$125 Обс.
15%
240-259
$263 Обс.
10%
260-279
$178 Обс.
9%
280-299
$1,513 Обс.
3%
300-319
$451 Обс.
2%
320-339
$175 Обс.
1%
340-359
$187 Обс.
1%
360-379
$62 Обс.
1%
380-399
$50 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$50 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$5 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$921 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$921 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$421 Обс.
<1%
500+
$4,773 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output landing in the 180-239 range as the most probable outcome for August 11-18 because his recent baseline hovers near 30-40 posts per day amid steady commentary on politics, technology, and platform issues. The tight clustering of probabilities around those buckets reflects consistent volume without major spikes from product launches or controversies in the immediate window. Historical patterns show quiet periods can dip toward 180 while routine engagement pushes past 220, with any sudden news cycle or reply thread providing the swing factor. Upcoming days offer little scheduled catalyst beyond normal activity, leaving momentum tied to Musk’s established posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,415Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output landing in the 180-239 range as the most probable outcome for August 11-18 because his recent baseline hovers near 30-40 posts per day amid steady commentary on politics, technology, and platform issues. The tight clustering of probabilities around those buckets reflects consistent volume without major spikes from product launches or controversies in the immediate window. Historical patterns show quiet periods can dip toward 180 while routine engagement pushes past 220, with any sudden news cycle or reply thread providing the swing factor. Upcoming days offer little scheduled catalyst beyond normal activity, leaving momentum tied to Musk’s established posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$30,415Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output landing in the 180-239 range as the most probable outcome for August 11-18 because his recent baseline hovers near 30-40 posts per day amid steady commentary on politics, technology, and platform issues. The tight clustering of probabilities around those buckets reflects consistent volume without major spikes from product launches or controversies in the immediate window. Historical patterns show quiet periods can dip toward 180 while routine engagement pushes past 220, with any sudden news cycle or reply thread providing the swing factor. Upcoming days offer little scheduled catalyst beyond normal activity, leaving momentum tied to Musk’s established posting cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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