Skip to main content
icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

4% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
4% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a natural-born U.S. citizen, born in New York City in 1998, underpins the market’s 96% implied probability against deportation in 2026. U.S. law offers no mechanism to strip citizenship or remove native-born individuals for online speech, controversial streaming content, or public statements, even amid backlash from his May 2026 Australia deportation and lifetime visa ban or recent viral memes tied to inflammatory clips. These events amplified online calls for action but triggered no policy shifts or legal proceedings that could alter his domestic standing. Historical precedent confirms citizenship revocation remains extraordinarily rare and faces steep constitutional hurdles, leaving only fringe scenarios—such as unexpected legislative overhauls or undisclosed personal factors—as potential disruptors to the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Обсяг
$553
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a natural-born U.S. citizen, born in New York City in 1998, underpins the market’s 96% implied probability against deportation in 2026. U.S. law offers no mechanism to strip citizenship or remove native-born individuals for online speech, controversial streaming content, or public statements, even amid backlash from his May 2026 Australia deportation and lifetime visa ban or recent viral memes tied to inflammatory clips. These events amplified online calls for action but triggered no policy shifts or legal proceedings that could alter his domestic standing. Historical precedent confirms citizenship revocation remains extraordinarily rare and faces steep constitutional hurdles, leaving only fringe scenarios—such as unexpected legislative overhauls or undisclosed personal factors—as potential disruptors to the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Обсяг
$553
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Sneako be deported in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 4% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 4¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 4%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Sneako be deported in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 7, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Sneako be deported in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Sneako be deported in 2026?» — 4% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 4% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Sneako be deported in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.