The tight contest between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 48% implied probability reflects trader focus on their status as the two major 2026 MCU releases, with Doomsday’s slight edge tied to its December 18 slot and fresh D23 2026 footage plus poster that reinforced multiverse crossover hype and Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which opened in late July, benefits from proven Tom Holland-Zendaya draw and strong initial box office momentum, but its actual opening-week results now face direct comparison against Doomsday’s anticipated holiday surge. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail due to narrower demographic appeal and less blockbuster-scale tracking. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any post-summer adjustments to year-end expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Обс.
$72,430 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
48%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Обс.
$72,430 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$22,327 Обс.
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$17,384 Обс.
48%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Обс.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,511 Обс.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The tight contest between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 48% implied probability reflects trader focus on their status as the two major 2026 MCU releases, with Doomsday’s slight edge tied to its December 18 slot and fresh D23 2026 footage plus poster that reinforced multiverse crossover hype and Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which opened in late July, benefits from proven Tom Holland-Zendaya draw and strong initial box office momentum, but its actual opening-week results now face direct comparison against Doomsday’s anticipated holiday surge. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail due to narrower demographic appeal and less blockbuster-scale tracking. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any post-summer adjustments to year-end expectations.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,430Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The tight contest between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 48% implied probability reflects trader focus on their status as the two major 2026 MCU releases, with Doomsday’s slight edge tied to its December 18 slot and fresh D23 2026 footage plus poster that reinforced multiverse crossover hype and Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which opened in late July, benefits from proven Tom Holland-Zendaya draw and strong initial box office momentum, but its actual opening-week results now face direct comparison against Doomsday’s anticipated holiday surge. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail due to narrower demographic appeal and less blockbuster-scale tracking. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any post-summer adjustments to year-end expectations.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$72,430Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 48% implied probability reflects trader focus on their status as the two major 2026 MCU releases, with Doomsday’s slight edge tied to its December 18 slot and fresh D23 2026 footage plus poster that reinforced multiverse crossover hype and Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which opened in late July, benefits from proven Tom Holland-Zendaya draw and strong initial box office momentum, but its actual opening-week results now face direct comparison against Doomsday’s anticipated holiday surge. Lower-probability options like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail due to narrower demographic appeal and less blockbuster-scale tracking. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any post-summer adjustments to year-end expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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