Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field this early in the 2026 release cycle, with Matt Damon at 32.5% implied probability and Tom Cruise at 26.5% leading on the strength of anticipated star vehicles and proven awards pedigrees. Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Brad Pitt occupy the next tier, while lower odds for names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling highlight how critical reception, guild nominations, and festival buzz later this year will likely reshape the consensus. The competitive dynamics hinge on release timing, box office performance, and precursor momentum rather than any single frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Matt Damon 33%
Tom Cruise 27%
Andrew Scott 15%
John Malkovich 10%
$17,711 Обс.
$17,711 Обс.
Mar 14, 2027
Matt Damon
33%
Tom Cruise
27%
Andrew Scott
15%
John Malkovich
10%
Brad Pitt
9%
Jeremy Strong
8%
Ryan Gosling
7%
Timothée Chalamet
4%
Sebastian Stan
4%
Pedro Pascal
4%
Sam Rockwell
4%
Javier Bardem
3%
John Turturro
1%
Robert Aramayo
1%
Adam Driver
1%
Jaafar Jackson
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Matt Damon 33%
Tom Cruise 27%
Andrew Scott 15%
John Malkovich 10%
$17,711 Обс.
$17,711 Обс.
Mar 14, 2027
Matt Damon
$3,936 Обс.
33%
Tom Cruise
$3,242 Обс.
27%
Andrew Scott
$3,270 Обс.
15%
John Malkovich
$635 Обс.
10%
Brad Pitt
$899 Обс.
9%
Jeremy Strong
$240 Обс.
8%
Ryan Gosling
$1,669 Обс.
7%
Timothée Chalamet
$442 Обс.
4%
Sebastian Stan
$405 Обс.
4%
Pedro Pascal
$399 Обс.
4%
Sam Rockwell
$364 Обс.
4%
Javier Bardem
$364 Обс.
3%
John Turturro
$393 Обс.
1%
Robert Aramayo
$391 Обс.
1%
Adam Driver
$373 Обс.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$364 Обс.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$324 Обс.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field this early in the 2026 release cycle, with Matt Damon at 32.5% implied probability and Tom Cruise at 26.5% leading on the strength of anticipated star vehicles and proven awards pedigrees. Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Brad Pitt occupy the next tier, while lower odds for names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling highlight how critical reception, guild nominations, and festival buzz later this year will likely reshape the consensus. The competitive dynamics hinge on release timing, box office performance, and precursor momentum rather than any single frontrunner.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,711Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field this early in the 2026 release cycle, with Matt Damon at 32.5% implied probability and Tom Cruise at 26.5% leading on the strength of anticipated star vehicles and proven awards pedigrees. Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Brad Pitt occupy the next tier, while lower odds for names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling highlight how critical reception, guild nominations, and festival buzz later this year will likely reshape the consensus. The competitive dynamics hinge on release timing, box office performance, and precursor momentum rather than any single frontrunner.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$17,711Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field this early in the 2026 release cycle, with Matt Damon at 32.5% implied probability and Tom Cruise at 26.5% leading on the strength of anticipated star vehicles and proven awards pedigrees. Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Brad Pitt occupy the next tier, while lower odds for names like Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling highlight how critical reception, guild nominations, and festival buzz later this year will likely reshape the consensus. The competitive dynamics hinge on release timing, box office performance, and precursor momentum rather than any single frontrunner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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