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Політика·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
Політика·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro 80%

Lula 14%

Ronaldo Caiado 9%

Renan Santos 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Flavio Bolsonaro 80%

Lula 14%

Ronaldo Caiado 9%

Renan Santos 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,274 Обс.

80%

icon for Lula

Lula

$177 Обс.

14%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$148 Обс.

9%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$130 Обс.

4%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$177 Обс.

4%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$208 Обс.

3%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$211 Обс.

3%

icon for Samara

Samara

$158 Обс.

2%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$158 Обс.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$177 Обс.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$219 Обс.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$199 Обс.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$125 Обс.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for first place in the Federal District’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the region’s consistent right-leaning electorate and his status as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed to continue the family political project. A late-July to early-August local poll showed him statistically tied with Lula at roughly 33 percent each, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, while national surveys continue to favor the incumbent. June audio revelations linking Bolsonaro to a banker and a temporary rift with Michelle Bolsonaro weighed on his broader numbers, yet these developments appear to have limited lasting effect among Distrito Federal voters. Upcoming debates and the final registration window keep the field fluid, with lower-polling names facing structural barriers to overtaking the top two.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$3,361
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for first place in the Federal District’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the region’s consistent right-leaning electorate and his status as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed to continue the family political project. A late-July to early-August local poll showed him statistically tied with Lula at roughly 33 percent each, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, while national surveys continue to favor the incumbent. June audio revelations linking Bolsonaro to a banker and a temporary rift with Michelle Bolsonaro weighed on his broader numbers, yet these developments appear to have limited lasting effect among Distrito Federal voters. Upcoming debates and the final registration window keep the field fluid, with lower-polling names facing structural barriers to overtaking the top two.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$3,361
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Пов'язане

icon for Чи займе Флавіо Болсонару друге місце у першому турі президентських виборів у Бразилії 2026 року?

Чи займе Флавіо Болсонару друге місце у першому турі президентських виборів у Бразилії 2026 року?

86%
Так
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

64%
icon for Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

53%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Flavio Bolsonaro» з 80%, далі «Lula» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District» — «Flavio Bolsonaro» з 80%. Наступний — «Lula» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.