Recent polling ahead of Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro holding clear leads, leaving Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado as the primary contenders for third place in a fragmented field. Santos, the Mission Party nominee backed by the Free Brazil Movement, has gained traction through strong social media reach and support among younger voters, frequently polling near or above 4-5 percent nationally. Caiado, the former Goiás governor running on the Social Democratic Party ticket, draws on established center-right networks and comparable single-digit support in recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other names trail further behind, with vote splitting among right-leaning options shaping the close contest for the remaining podium spot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRenan Santos 57%
Ronaldo Caiado 36%
Romeu Zema 4.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro 3.5%
$554,046 Обс.
$554,046 Обс.

Renan Santos
57%

Ronaldo Caiado
36%

Romeu Zema
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Augusto Cury
2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 57%
Ronaldo Caiado 36%
Romeu Zema 4.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro 3.5%
$554,046 Обс.
$554,046 Обс.

Renan Santos
57%

Ronaldo Caiado
36%

Romeu Zema
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Augusto Cury
2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro holding clear leads, leaving Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado as the primary contenders for third place in a fragmented field. Santos, the Mission Party nominee backed by the Free Brazil Movement, has gained traction through strong social media reach and support among younger voters, frequently polling near or above 4-5 percent nationally. Caiado, the former Goiás governor running on the Social Democratic Party ticket, draws on established center-right networks and comparable single-digit support in recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other names trail further behind, with vote splitting among right-leaning options shaping the close contest for the remaining podium spot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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