Skip to main content
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?
Політика·Проміжні семестри

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?
Політика·Проміжні семестри

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

92% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
92% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia's 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean and Bishop's prior 56% general-election performance. Bishop secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with minimal opposition, while Day advanced as the Republican nominee. In Georgia's plurality system, the combination of strong Democratic base turnout, limited Republican challengers, and the absence of competitive third-party candidates creates high likelihood that one contender exceeds 50% on November 3, producing an outright winner without a December runoff. Trader consensus at 92% for an outright result aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar safe seats.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Обсяг
$159
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia's 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean and Bishop's prior 56% general-election performance. Bishop secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with minimal opposition, while Day advanced as the Republican nominee. In Georgia's plurality system, the combination of strong Democratic base turnout, limited Republican challengers, and the absence of competitive third-party candidates creates high likelihood that one contender exceeds 50% on November 3, producing an outright winner without a December runoff. Trader consensus at 92% for an outright result aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar safe seats.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Обсяг
$159
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.

Пов'язане

icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?

53%
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

68%
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

52%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 92% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 92¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 92%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?» — 92% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 92% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.