Delaware’s at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking a second term against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of the September 15, 2026 primaries. The state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and D+8 partisan lean have produced double-digit margins in recent federal contests, including McBride’s 2024 victory by 16 points. No significant polling shifts or late developments have altered that baseline, leaving traders to price in a wide structural advantage for the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require either an unusually strong general-election candidate emerging from the primary or an unforeseen national swing large enough to overcome Delaware’s underlying partisan tilt.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$20,572 Обс.
$20,572 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$20,572 Обс.
$20,572 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,250 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$15,323 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking a second term against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of the September 15, 2026 primaries. The state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and D+8 partisan lean have produced double-digit margins in recent federal contests, including McBride’s 2024 victory by 16 points. No significant polling shifts or late developments have altered that baseline, leaving traders to price in a wide structural advantage for the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require either an unusually strong general-election candidate emerging from the primary or an unforeseen national swing large enough to overcome Delaware’s underlying partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,572Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking a second term against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of the September 15, 2026 primaries. The state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and D+8 partisan lean have produced double-digit margins in recent federal contests, including McBride’s 2024 victory by 16 points. No significant polling shifts or late developments have altered that baseline, leaving traders to price in a wide structural advantage for the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require either an unusually strong general-election candidate emerging from the primary or an unforeseen national swing large enough to overcome Delaware’s underlying partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,572Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking a second term against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of the September 15, 2026 primaries. The state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and D+8 partisan lean have produced double-digit margins in recent federal contests, including McBride’s 2024 victory by 16 points. No significant polling shifts or late developments have altered that baseline, leaving traders to price in a wide structural advantage for the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require either an unusually strong general-election candidate emerging from the primary or an unforeseen national swing large enough to overcome Delaware’s underlying partisan tilt.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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