Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$65,492 Обс.
$65,492 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$65,492 Обс.
$65,492 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$36,074 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$29,418 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$65,492Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$65,492Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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