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icon for CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket
НОВЕ
Polymarket
НОВЕ

Ken Calvert

$1,264 Обс.

65%

Young Kim

$1,235 Обс.

37%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,498
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,498
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ken Calvert» з 65%, далі «Young Kim» з 37%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — «Ken Calvert» з 65%. Наступний — «Young Kim» з 37%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.