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icon for CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket
НОВЕ
Polymarket
НОВЕ

Luz Rivas

$923 Обс.

88%

Angélica María Dueñas

$262 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Luz Rivas advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 51% of the vote in California's 29th congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas at 25% and Republican Rudy Melendez at 24%. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat, rated safe or solid for Democrats by multiple forecasters, favors the sitting representative who has raised substantially more campaign funds than Dueñas ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with Rivas's primary performance and incumbency edge, while Dueñas's lower share indicates limited momentum for an upset in the intra-party contest. No major intervening developments have altered the positioning since the primary results.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,185
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Luz Rivas advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 51% of the vote in California's 29th congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas at 25% and Republican Rudy Melendez at 24%. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat, rated safe or solid for Democrats by multiple forecasters, favors the sitting representative who has raised substantially more campaign funds than Dueñas ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with Rivas's primary performance and incumbency edge, while Dueñas's lower share indicates limited momentum for an upset in the intra-party contest. No major intervening developments have altered the positioning since the primary results.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,185
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Luz Rivas» з 88%, далі «Angélica María Dueñas» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)» — «Luz Rivas» з 88%. Наступний — «Angélica María Dueñas» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.