Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and 2024 presidential results, anchors trader consensus around an 87% probability for the Republican Party outcome. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican, with no recent polling shifts, redistricting changes, or campaign developments reported since the primaries that would narrow the gap. The absence of competitive Democratic momentum or notable external catalysts has kept probabilities stable in line with the district's established partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-03 House Election Winner
TX-03 House Election Winner
$23,276 Обс.
$23,276 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$23,276 Обс.
$23,276 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,645 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$7,631 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and 2024 presidential results, anchors trader consensus around an 87% probability for the Republican Party outcome. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican, with no recent polling shifts, redistricting changes, or campaign developments reported since the primaries that would narrow the gap. The absence of competitive Democratic momentum or notable external catalysts has kept probabilities stable in line with the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,276Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and 2024 presidential results, anchors trader consensus around an 87% probability for the Republican Party outcome. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican, with no recent polling shifts, redistricting changes, or campaign developments reported since the primaries that would narrow the gap. The absence of competitive Democratic momentum or notable external catalysts has kept probabilities stable in line with the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,276Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election for Texas's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and 2024 presidential results, anchors trader consensus around an 87% probability for the Republican Party outcome. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican, with no recent polling shifts, redistricting changes, or campaign developments reported since the primaries that would narrow the gap. The absence of competitive Democratic momentum or notable external catalysts has kept probabilities stable in line with the district's established partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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