NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision to run for governor, creating a contest in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index. Republican nominee Anthony Constantino, a business owner who won his June primary, faces Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling shows Constantino leading by double digits after earlier surveys indicated a closer race, supported by stronger Republican primary turnout. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and the structural advantages for the GOP nominee in this northern New York district ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$60,555 Обс.
$60,555 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
29%
$60,555 Обс.
$60,555 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$30,839 Обс.
70%
Democratic Party
$29,716 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision to run for governor, creating a contest in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index. Republican nominee Anthony Constantino, a business owner who won his June primary, faces Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling shows Constantino leading by double digits after earlier surveys indicated a closer race, supported by stronger Republican primary turnout. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and the structural advantages for the GOP nominee in this northern New York district ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision to run for governor, creating a contest in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index. Republican nominee Anthony Constantino, a business owner who won his June primary, faces Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling shows Constantino leading by double digits after earlier surveys indicated a closer race, supported by stronger Republican primary turnout. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and the structural advantages for the GOP nominee in this northern New York district ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$60,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision to run for governor, creating a contest in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index. Republican nominee Anthony Constantino, a business owner who won his June primary, faces Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling shows Constantino leading by double digits after earlier surveys indicated a closer race, supported by stronger Republican primary turnout. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and the structural advantages for the GOP nominee in this northern New York district ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання