Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$35,283 Обс.
$35,283 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
20%
$35,283 Обс.
$35,283 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,312 Обс.
79%
Democratic Party
$20,971 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,283Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,283Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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