Salud Carbajal, the Democratic incumbent in California's 24th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Bob Smith, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by voter registration patterns, past election margins, and California's broader partisan composition favoring Democrats in this coastal area. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts before November, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-24 House Election Winner
CA-24 House Election Winner
$35,502 Обс.
$35,502 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$35,502 Обс.
$35,502 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,631 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$17,871 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Salud Carbajal, the Democratic incumbent in California's 24th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Bob Smith, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by voter registration patterns, past election margins, and California's broader partisan composition favoring Democrats in this coastal area. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts before November, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,502Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Salud Carbajal, the Democratic incumbent in California's 24th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Bob Smith, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by voter registration patterns, past election margins, and California's broader partisan composition favoring Democrats in this coastal area. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts before November, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,502Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Salud Carbajal, the Democratic incumbent in California's 24th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Bob Smith, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, supported by voter registration patterns, past election margins, and California's broader partisan composition favoring Democrats in this coastal area. Traders price Democratic victory above 90 percent due to these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts before November, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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