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Політика·Вибори в США

New York Governor Election Winner

icon for New York Governor Election Winner
Політика·Вибори в США

New York Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$98,093 Обс.

Polymarket

$98,093 Обс.

icon for Democrat

Democrat

$49,037 Обс.

95%

icon for Republican

Republican

$49,056 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s entrenched Democratic lean, with no Republican statewide victory since 2002, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Incumbent Kathy Hochul secured her party’s nomination without opposition after the June primaries, while Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails in recent Siena and other surveys by margins of 6–10 points. These results reflect Hochul’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and voter coalitions on issues such as housing affordability. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-breaking developments capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural edge in this heavily Democratic state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$98,093
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s entrenched Democratic lean, with no Republican statewide victory since 2002, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Incumbent Kathy Hochul secured her party’s nomination without opposition after the June primaries, while Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails in recent Siena and other surveys by margins of 6–10 points. These results reflect Hochul’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and voter coalitions on issues such as housing affordability. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-breaking developments capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural edge in this heavily Democratic state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$98,093
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«New York Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Democrat» з 95%, далі «Republican» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «New York Governor Election Winner» згенерував $98.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «New York Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «New York Governor Election Winner» — «Democrat» з 95%. Наступний — «Republican» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «New York Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.