Darline Graham, appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after her brother Lindsey Graham's death, finished first in the August 11 special Republican primary with roughly 33 percent and now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff for the nomination. President Trump's endorsement and the Graham family name recognition have bolstered her position against a field that included multiple sitting members of Congress, while Norman benefits from established legislative experience and conservative donor networks in a compressed three-week campaign. No public polling on the head-to-head matchup has emerged since the primary, leaving trader assessments of her final vote share dependent on turnout dynamics in a low-information special election and any last-minute endorsements or advertising shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
≥30%
98%
≥40%
92%
≥45%
91%
≥50%
84%
≥55%
75%
≥60%
22%
≥65%
6%
≥75%
1%
≥85%
1%
$3,410 Обс.
≥30%
$879 Обс.
98%
≥40%
$432 Обс.
92%
≥45%
$161 Обс.
91%
≥50%
$176 Обс.
84%
≥55%
$161 Обс.
75%
≥60%
$534 Обс.
22%
≥65%
$328 Обс.
6%
≥75%
$369 Обс.
1%
≥85%
$369 Обс.
1%
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after her brother Lindsey Graham's death, finished first in the August 11 special Republican primary with roughly 33 percent and now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff for the nomination. President Trump's endorsement and the Graham family name recognition have bolstered her position against a field that included multiple sitting members of Congress, while Norman benefits from established legislative experience and conservative donor networks in a compressed three-week campaign. No public polling on the head-to-head matchup has emerged since the primary, leaving trader assessments of her final vote share dependent on turnout dynamics in a low-information special election and any last-minute endorsements or advertising shifts.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,410Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after her brother Lindsey Graham's death, finished first in the August 11 special Republican primary with roughly 33 percent and now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff for the nomination. President Trump's endorsement and the Graham family name recognition have bolstered her position against a field that included multiple sitting members of Congress, while Norman benefits from established legislative experience and conservative donor networks in a compressed three-week campaign. No public polling on the head-to-head matchup has emerged since the primary, leaving trader assessments of her final vote share dependent on turnout dynamics in a low-information special election and any last-minute endorsements or advertising shifts.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$3,410Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Darline Graham, appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after her brother Lindsey Graham's death, finished first in the August 11 special Republican primary with roughly 33 percent and now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff for the nomination. President Trump's endorsement and the Graham family name recognition have bolstered her position against a field that included multiple sitting members of Congress, while Norman benefits from established legislative experience and conservative donor networks in a compressed three-week campaign. No public polling on the head-to-head matchup has emerged since the primary, leaving trader assessments of her final vote share dependent on turnout dynamics in a low-information special election and any last-minute endorsements or advertising shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
82%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?
20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?
45%
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