Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their May 5 primaries without significant opposition or upset. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Carey's 56.5% share in 2024. A July 2026 poll showed Carey ahead 45-40, underscoring the incumbent's structural edge in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in central Ohio. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the summer poll.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$10,501 Обс.
$10,501 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
19%
$10,501 Обс.
$10,501 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,609 Обс.
78%
Democratic Party
$5,891 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their May 5 primaries without significant opposition or upset. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Carey's 56.5% share in 2024. A July 2026 poll showed Carey ahead 45-40, underscoring the incumbent's structural edge in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in central Ohio. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the summer poll.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,501Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their May 5 primaries without significant opposition or upset. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Carey's 56.5% share in 2024. A July 2026 poll showed Carey ahead 45-40, underscoring the incumbent's structural edge in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in central Ohio. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the summer poll.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,501Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their May 5 primaries without significant opposition or upset. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Carey's 56.5% share in 2024. A July 2026 poll showed Carey ahead 45-40, underscoring the incumbent's structural edge in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in central Ohio. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, limiting Democratic path-to-victory scenarios despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the summer poll.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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