Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$16,552 Обс.
$16,552 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$16,552 Обс.
$16,552 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,726 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$7,826 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,552Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,552Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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