**Recent official and model forecasts indicate a daily minimum temperature in Zhengzhou around 25–27°C for August 25, 2026, supporting the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible. Highs are expected to reach 32–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly or northeasterly winds. These conditions align with ongoing warm, moist air masses over central China in late August, without an approaching cold front or significant upper-level cooling that could drive sharper overnight drops. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou feature minima near 24–26°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation, keeping probabilities elevated for the warmest bin. The 27.5% implied odds for 15°C or below and the 20–25% levels clustered around 16–22°C reflect lower-probability scenarios that would require an atypical sharp cooldown or measurement anomaly, which current data and short-range guidance do not support. Updated model runs or official observations over the next 24 hours could refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
97%
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
55%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
40%
21°C
$0 Обс.
40%
22°C
$0 Обс.
50%
23°C
$0 Обс.
50%
24°C
$0 Обс.
50%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts indicate a daily minimum temperature in Zhengzhou around 25–27°C for August 25, 2026, supporting the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible. Highs are expected to reach 32–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly or northeasterly winds.
These conditions align with ongoing warm, moist air masses over central China in late August, without an approaching cold front or significant upper-level cooling that could drive sharper overnight drops. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou feature minima near 24–26°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation, keeping probabilities elevated for the warmest bin.
The 27.5% implied odds for 15°C or below and the 20–25% levels clustered around 16–22°C reflect lower-probability scenarios that would require an atypical sharp cooldown or measurement anomaly, which current data and short-range guidance do not support. Updated model runs or official observations over the next 24 hours could refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts indicate a daily minimum temperature in Zhengzhou around 25–27°C for August 25, 2026, supporting the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible. Highs are expected to reach 32–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly or northeasterly winds.
These conditions align with ongoing warm, moist air masses over central China in late August, without an approaching cold front or significant upper-level cooling that could drive sharper overnight drops. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou feature minima near 24–26°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation, keeping probabilities elevated for the warmest bin.
The 27.5% implied odds for 15°C or below and the 20–25% levels clustered around 16–22°C reflect lower-probability scenarios that would require an atypical sharp cooldown or measurement anomaly, which current data and short-range guidance do not support. Updated model runs or official observations over the next 24 hours could refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model forecasts indicate a daily minimum temperature in Zhengzhou around 25–27°C for August 25, 2026, supporting the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible. Highs are expected to reach 32–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly or northeasterly winds. These conditions align with ongoing warm, moist air masses over central China in late August, without an approaching cold front or significant upper-level cooling that could drive sharper overnight drops. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou feature minima near 24–26°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation, keeping probabilities elevated for the warmest bin. The 27.5% implied odds for 15°C or below and the 20–25% levels clustered around 16–22°C reflect lower-probability scenarios that would require an atypical sharp cooldown or measurement anomaly, which current data and short-range guidance do not support. Updated model runs or official observations over the next 24 hours could refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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