Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 99%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
22°C or below 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
99%
32°C or higher 99%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
22°C or below 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
8%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
56%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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