Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, underpinning the 97% market-implied probability. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–13°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Hourly observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited downside risk, though slight model divergence on wind patterns or cloud cover could allow a dip to 11–12°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, with official station data from Warsaw Chopin Airport serving as the likely arbiter.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
13°C 97%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
$2,930 Обс.
$2,930 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
97%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 97%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
$2,930 Обс.
$2,930 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$342 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$196 Обс.
1%
10°C
$238 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$89 Обс.
6%
12°C
$92 Обс.
3%
13°C
$467 Обс.
97%
14°C
$473 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$164 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$540 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$145 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$184 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, underpinning the 97% market-implied probability. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–13°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Hourly observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited downside risk, though slight model divergence on wind patterns or cloud cover could allow a dip to 11–12°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, with official station data from Warsaw Chopin Airport serving as the likely arbiter.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,930Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, underpinning the 97% market-implied probability. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–13°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Hourly observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited downside risk, though slight model divergence on wind patterns or cloud cover could allow a dip to 11–12°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, with official station data from Warsaw Chopin Airport serving as the likely arbiter.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,930Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C on August 23, underpinning the 97% market-implied probability. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–13°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Hourly observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited downside risk, though slight model divergence on wind patterns or cloud cover could allow a dip to 11–12°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution, with official station data from Warsaw Chopin Airport serving as the likely arbiter.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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