Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 19–22 °C in Milan on August 24, driven by light easterly flow under stable high pressure and limited cloud cover early in the night. Traders appear focused on the potential for slightly greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or if dew points remain lower than anticipated. Differentiating outcomes hinge on precise timing of any evening showers, urban heat-island retention, and small ensemble spreads in minimum temperature guidance; historical late-August minima near 18–20 °C provide context for the closely matched 17–19 °C probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
8%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
21%
18°C
26%
19°C
22%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
9%
18°C 26%
19°C 22%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$34 Обс.
8%
13°C
$80 Обс.
1%
14°C
$93 Обс.
7%
15°C
$6 Обс.
18%
16°C
$0 Обс.
18%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$0 Обс.
26%
19°C
$0 Обс.
22%
20°C
$5 Обс.
17%
21°C
$5 Обс.
17%
22°C or higher
$123 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 19–22 °C in Milan on August 24, driven by light easterly flow under stable high pressure and limited cloud cover early in the night. Traders appear focused on the potential for slightly greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or if dew points remain lower than anticipated. Differentiating outcomes hinge on precise timing of any evening showers, urban heat-island retention, and small ensemble spreads in minimum temperature guidance; historical late-August minima near 18–20 °C provide context for the closely matched 17–19 °C probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$347Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 19–22 °C in Milan on August 24, driven by light easterly flow under stable high pressure and limited cloud cover early in the night. Traders appear focused on the potential for slightly greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or if dew points remain lower than anticipated. Differentiating outcomes hinge on precise timing of any evening showers, urban heat-island retention, and small ensemble spreads in minimum temperature guidance; historical late-August minima near 18–20 °C provide context for the closely matched 17–19 °C probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$347Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 19–22 °C in Milan on August 24, driven by light easterly flow under stable high pressure and limited cloud cover early in the night. Traders appear focused on the potential for slightly greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or if dew points remain lower than anticipated. Differentiating outcomes hinge on precise timing of any evening showers, urban heat-island retention, and small ensemble spreads in minimum temperature guidance; historical late-August minima near 18–20 °C provide context for the closely matched 17–19 °C probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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