Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$347 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$364 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$359 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$357 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$308 Обс.
1%
26°C
$381 Обс.
2%
27°C
$742 Обс.
4%
28°C
$1,845 Обс.
27%
29°C
$1,981 Обс.
50%
30°C
$1,650 Обс.
18%
31°C or higher
$597 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,932Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,932Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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