Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for coastal Qingdao on August 2, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow limiting the moderating sea breeze, and elevated boundary-layer temperatures advected from inland regions. These conditions align with historical late-summer peaks but stand above the 30 °C August climatological average. Differentiation among 35–37 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in model cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture profiles, with higher-resolution runs showing modest uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely balanced rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected from national agencies tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 2?
36°C 38%
35°C 31%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
12%
35°C
31%
36°C
38%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
6%
36°C 38%
35°C 31%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$355 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$375 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$375 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$224 Обс.
1%
32°C
$77 Обс.
1%
33°C
$546 Обс.
2%
34°C
$382 Обс.
12%
35°C
$250 Обс.
31%
36°C
$152 Обс.
38%
37°C
$238 Обс.
19%
38°C or higher
$298 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for coastal Qingdao on August 2, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow limiting the moderating sea breeze, and elevated boundary-layer temperatures advected from inland regions. These conditions align with historical late-summer peaks but stand above the 30 °C August climatological average. Differentiation among 35–37 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in model cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture profiles, with higher-resolution runs showing modest uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely balanced rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected from national agencies tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,271Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for coastal Qingdao on August 2, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow limiting the moderating sea breeze, and elevated boundary-layer temperatures advected from inland regions. These conditions align with historical late-summer peaks but stand above the 30 °C August climatological average. Differentiation among 35–37 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in model cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture profiles, with higher-resolution runs showing modest uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely balanced rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected from national agencies tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,271Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for coastal Qingdao on August 2, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow limiting the moderating sea breeze, and elevated boundary-layer temperatures advected from inland regions. These conditions align with historical late-summer peaks but stand above the 30 °C August climatological average. Differentiation among 35–37 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in model cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture profiles, with higher-resolution runs showing modest uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely balanced rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected from national agencies tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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