Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
24°C 24%
25°C 24%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
НОВЕ
$17,789 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,789 Обс.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
23%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
7%
24°C 24%
25°C 24%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
НОВЕ
$17,789 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,789 Обс.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
$334 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$325 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$421 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$740 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,050 Обс.
4%
24°C
$5,671 Обс.
24%
25°C
$3,480 Обс.
24%
26°C
$639 Обс.
23%
27°C
$1,180 Обс.
14%
28°C
$1,712 Обс.
11%
29°C or higher
$2,237 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,789Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,789Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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