**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.** Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
36°C 67%
35°C 21.2%
37°C 12%
38°C or higher 3%
$26,560 Обс.
$26,560 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
21%
36°C
67%
37°C
12%
38°C or higher
3%
36°C 67%
35°C 21.2%
37°C 12%
38°C or higher 3%
$26,560 Обс.
$26,560 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$424 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$529 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$384 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$836 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$397 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,305 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$7,460 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$3,580 Обс.
21%
36°C
$3,025 Обс.
67%
37°C
$2,646 Обс.
12%
38°C or higher
$4,974 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.**
Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,560Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.**
Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,560Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.** Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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