Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s July 31 high because official station observations and preliminary National Weather Service data now confirm that value as the daily maximum under typical late-July conditions of high humidity, light steering flow, and limited afternoon convection. Historical climatology for the Florida Panhandle places average July highs near 32–33°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modestly warmer day without exceeding regional records. Market pricing reflects the finality of the date, with any remaining 0.1% tails assigned only to potential post-analysis revisions in station selection or quality-control adjustments. New official summaries from NOAA or local cooperative observers in the coming days represent the only realistic pathway for a shift, though such changes remain rare once preliminary maxima are posted.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on July 31?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$19,261 Обс.
$19,261 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$19,261 Обс.
$19,261 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s July 31 high because official station observations and preliminary National Weather Service data now confirm that value as the daily maximum under typical late-July conditions of high humidity, light steering flow, and limited afternoon convection. Historical climatology for the Florida Panhandle places average July highs near 32–33°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modestly warmer day without exceeding regional records. Market pricing reflects the finality of the date, with any remaining 0.1% tails assigned only to potential post-analysis revisions in station selection or quality-control adjustments. New official summaries from NOAA or local cooperative observers in the coming days represent the only realistic pathway for a shift, though such changes remain rare once preliminary maxima are posted.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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