Chongqing's subtropical climate and Sichuan Basin topography trap heat and humidity, driving typical early-August daily maxima of 34–38°C according to long-term records and China Meteorological Administration climatology. Trader consensus around 37°C (44% implied probability) reflects current forecast guidance showing no strong frontal systems or monsoon rainfall to suppress temperatures on August 1, consistent with July's observed heatwave that produced multiple 40°C+ days. Model runs indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and local wind patterns, supporting secondary probabilities for 36°C and 38°C while keeping higher extremes (40°C+) below 5% absent an unexpected ridge strengthening. Official surface observations and ensemble forecasts will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
37°C 44%
36°C 23%
38°C 17%
35°C 9%
НОВЕ
$13,661 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,661 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
23%
37°C
44%
38°C
17%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 44%
36°C 23%
38°C 17%
35°C 9%
НОВЕ
$13,661 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,661 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
$1,979 Обс.
4%
35°C
$840 Обс.
9%
36°C
$925 Обс.
23%
37°C
$1,486 Обс.
44%
38°C
$2,029 Обс.
17%
39°C
$1,068 Обс.
6%
40°C
$1,485 Обс.
3%
41°C
$1,879 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$859 Обс.
<1%
43°C
$411 Обс.
<1%
44°C or higher
$700 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical climate and Sichuan Basin topography trap heat and humidity, driving typical early-August daily maxima of 34–38°C according to long-term records and China Meteorological Administration climatology. Trader consensus around 37°C (44% implied probability) reflects current forecast guidance showing no strong frontal systems or monsoon rainfall to suppress temperatures on August 1, consistent with July's observed heatwave that produced multiple 40°C+ days. Model runs indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and local wind patterns, supporting secondary probabilities for 36°C and 38°C while keeping higher extremes (40°C+) below 5% absent an unexpected ridge strengthening. Official surface observations and ensemble forecasts will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,661Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical climate and Sichuan Basin topography trap heat and humidity, driving typical early-August daily maxima of 34–38°C according to long-term records and China Meteorological Administration climatology. Trader consensus around 37°C (44% implied probability) reflects current forecast guidance showing no strong frontal systems or monsoon rainfall to suppress temperatures on August 1, consistent with July's observed heatwave that produced multiple 40°C+ days. Model runs indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and local wind patterns, supporting secondary probabilities for 36°C and 38°C while keeping higher extremes (40°C+) below 5% absent an unexpected ridge strengthening. Official surface observations and ensemble forecasts will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,661Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical climate and Sichuan Basin topography trap heat and humidity, driving typical early-August daily maxima of 34–38°C according to long-term records and China Meteorological Administration climatology. Trader consensus around 37°C (44% implied probability) reflects current forecast guidance showing no strong frontal systems or monsoon rainfall to suppress temperatures on August 1, consistent with July's observed heatwave that produced multiple 40°C+ days. Model runs indicate modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and local wind patterns, supporting secondary probabilities for 36°C and 38°C while keeping higher extremes (40°C+) below 5% absent an unexpected ridge strengthening. Official surface observations and ensemble forecasts will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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