Persistent heat from the North Pacific High, combined with lingering effects of South Korea’s early-August record heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C, positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s August 24 maximum. Warm, humid maritime air and limited cloud cover are expected to sustain elevated temperatures, with model guidance and recent observations indicating daily peaks near or above historical late-summer averages of 29–31°C. The market-implied probabilities—35°C at 52.5% and 36°C at 25.5%—reflect trader consensus on modest intensification before any cooling shift, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid change in steering patterns or precipitation. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 53%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
16%
35°C
53%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 53%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$48 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$136 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$159 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$275 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$319 Обс.
1%
33°C
$957 Обс.
1%
34°C
$1,475 Обс.
16%
35°C
$1,310 Обс.
53%
36°C
$2,316 Обс.
26%
37°C
$1,217 Обс.
4%
38°C or higher
$744 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat from the North Pacific High, combined with lingering effects of South Korea’s early-August record heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C, positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s August 24 maximum. Warm, humid maritime air and limited cloud cover are expected to sustain elevated temperatures, with model guidance and recent observations indicating daily peaks near or above historical late-summer averages of 29–31°C. The market-implied probabilities—35°C at 52.5% and 36°C at 25.5%—reflect trader consensus on modest intensification before any cooling shift, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid change in steering patterns or precipitation. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,955Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat from the North Pacific High, combined with lingering effects of South Korea’s early-August record heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C, positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s August 24 maximum. Warm, humid maritime air and limited cloud cover are expected to sustain elevated temperatures, with model guidance and recent observations indicating daily peaks near or above historical late-summer averages of 29–31°C. The market-implied probabilities—35°C at 52.5% and 36°C at 25.5%—reflect trader consensus on modest intensification before any cooling shift, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid change in steering patterns or precipitation. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,955Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat from the North Pacific High, combined with lingering effects of South Korea’s early-August record heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C, positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s August 24 maximum. Warm, humid maritime air and limited cloud cover are expected to sustain elevated temperatures, with model guidance and recent observations indicating daily peaks near or above historical late-summer averages of 29–31°C. The market-implied probabilities—35°C at 52.5% and 36°C at 25.5%—reflect trader consensus on modest intensification before any cooling shift, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid change in steering patterns or precipitation. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання