Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Byron Donalds' 66 percent general election margin in 2024 before his retirement to pursue the governorship. Recent race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, while polling in the August 18 Republican primary shows a competitive but contained field among candidates including Jim Schwartzel, Catalina Lauf, and James Oberweis. Limited Democratic primary activity and the district's consistent voting patterns contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$17,379 Обс.
$17,379 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,379 Обс.
$17,379 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,769 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,610 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Byron Donalds' 66 percent general election margin in 2024 before his retirement to pursue the governorship. Recent race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, while polling in the August 18 Republican primary shows a competitive but contained field among candidates including Jim Schwartzel, Catalina Lauf, and James Oberweis. Limited Democratic primary activity and the district's consistent voting patterns contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,379Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Byron Donalds' 66 percent general election margin in 2024 before his retirement to pursue the governorship. Recent race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, while polling in the August 18 Republican primary shows a competitive but contained field among candidates including Jim Schwartzel, Catalina Lauf, and James Oberweis. Limited Democratic primary activity and the district's consistent voting patterns contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,379Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Byron Donalds' 66 percent general election margin in 2024 before his retirement to pursue the governorship. Recent race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, while polling in the August 18 Republican primary shows a competitive but contained field among candidates including Jim Schwartzel, Catalina Lauf, and James Oberweis. Limited Democratic primary activity and the district's consistent voting patterns contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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