Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 point to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent tropical circulation remnants and monsoon influences, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26°C. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling at night, while scattered thunderstorms and overcast conditions moderate the diurnal range compared to clearer subtropical nights. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover could enhance nighttime cooling toward 23°C or below, whereas heavier rainfall would likely sustain warmer lows near 27°C through latent heat release and insulation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
22°C or below 84%
24°C 84%
23°C 81%
26°C 51%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
84%
23°C
81%
24°C
84%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 84%
24°C 84%
23°C 81%
26°C 51%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
84%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
84%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 point to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent tropical circulation remnants and monsoon influences, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26°C. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling at night, while scattered thunderstorms and overcast conditions moderate the diurnal range compared to clearer subtropical nights. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover could enhance nighttime cooling toward 23°C or below, whereas heavier rainfall would likely sustain warmer lows near 27°C through latent heat release and insulation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 point to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent tropical circulation remnants and monsoon influences, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26°C. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling at night, while scattered thunderstorms and overcast conditions moderate the diurnal range compared to clearer subtropical nights. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover could enhance nighttime cooling toward 23°C or below, whereas heavier rainfall would likely sustain warmer lows near 27°C through latent heat release and insulation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1 point to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent tropical circulation remnants and monsoon influences, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–26°C. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling at night, while scattered thunderstorms and overcast conditions moderate the diurnal range compared to clearer subtropical nights. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover could enhance nighttime cooling toward 23°C or below, whereas heavier rainfall would likely sustain warmer lows near 27°C through latent heat release and insulation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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