Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 25°C are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime, keeping the overnight low tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C. Heavy rain episodes can enhance evaporative cooling and briefly suppress temperatures toward 24°C, while persistent low-level moisture and urban heat retention favor stabilization around 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity through the night of 30 August, producing the near-even market split; any late clearing or heavier convective outflow could tip the minimum either way before resolution. Historical August minima in the region average near 26–27°C, underscoring how today’s active convection is the dominant short-term driver.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
24°C 95%
25°C 62%
23°C or below 5%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
95%
25°C
62%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
25°C 62%
23°C or below 5%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
95%
25°C
62%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 25°C are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime, keeping the overnight low tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C. Heavy rain episodes can enhance evaporative cooling and briefly suppress temperatures toward 24°C, while persistent low-level moisture and urban heat retention favor stabilization around 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity through the night of 30 August, producing the near-even market split; any late clearing or heavier convective outflow could tip the minimum either way before resolution. Historical August minima in the region average near 26–27°C, underscoring how today’s active convection is the dominant short-term driver.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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