Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources and local models indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 30, 2026, will likely settle in the mid-50s°F at Sea-Tac, driven by persistent marine layer clouds limiting radiational cooling under light southerly flow and dew points near 51–53°F. This setup favors 54–56°F readings but leaves room for deeper cooling to the low 50s if skies clear earlier than expected or winds remain calm, explaining the tight market clustering around 48–53°F bins. Historical averages near 55.5°F provide context, yet short-term model variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud breaks create the narrow spreads traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
52-53°F 50%
48-49°F 49%
50-51°F 48%
54-55°F 38%
$690 ปริมาณ
$690 ปริมาณ
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
49%
50-51°F
48%
52-53°F
50%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 50%
48-49°F 49%
50-51°F 48%
54-55°F 38%
$690 ปริมาณ
$690 ปริมาณ
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
49%
50-51°F
48%
52-53°F
50%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned sources and local models indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 30, 2026, will likely settle in the mid-50s°F at Sea-Tac, driven by persistent marine layer clouds limiting radiational cooling under light southerly flow and dew points near 51–53°F. This setup favors 54–56°F readings but leaves room for deeper cooling to the low 50s if skies clear earlier than expected or winds remain calm, explaining the tight market clustering around 48–53°F bins. Historical averages near 55.5°F provide context, yet short-term model variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud breaks create the narrow spreads traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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