Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 49%
28°C 29%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$21,062 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,062 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
49%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 49%
28°C 29%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$21,062 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,062 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$469 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$854 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$728 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,049 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$726 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$2,274 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$2,600 ปริมาณ
49%
28°C
$2,902 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$7,098 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C or higher
$2,232 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,062วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,062วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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