**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models. A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on July 31?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 31?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$48,008 ปริมาณ
$48,008 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$48,008 ปริมาณ
$48,008 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
$760 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$3,026 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$2,542 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$6,733 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$7,688 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$8,723 ปริมาณ
100%
98-99°F
$13,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$2,338 ปริมาณ
<1%
102-103°F
$1,220 ปริมาณ
<1%
104-105°F
$1,065 ปริมาณ
<1%
106°F or higher
$606 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models.
A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,008วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models.
A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,008วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami International Airport (KMIA) reached a maximum of 96°F on July 31, 2026, at 1:51 p.m. EDT, establishing a new daily record.** This reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time station data over forecast models. A persistent subtropical ridge and ongoing 2026 heat wave—marked by elevated heat-index hours and repeated daily records—drove surface temperatures above the 91°F July normal. Afternoon convection and humidity capped further warming, preventing a push into the upper 90s or beyond. Historical context shows prior July 31 records at 95°F (1986, 1999), making this a clear but not unprecedented outlier under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain limited: minor post-event quality-control adjustments to the official record or rare discrepancies between airport and urban sensors could theoretically shift the bin, though NWS verification makes such revisions improbable. The market's near-certain pricing underscores how skin-in-the-game consensus rapidly incorporates authoritative observational evidence once available.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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